Moving Average Alerts

Data through Friday, November 6, 2026 close. Unadjusted closes.

The odds · Falls

The safest ETFs of the last ten years: the ones that fell least from their highs

SHY (a worst fall of −6%), TIP (a worst fall of −15%) and AGG (a worst fall of −18%) lead the 90 funds with ten years of history.

Nov 7, 2016 to Nov 6, 2026, the same ten years for every fund. Dividend-adjusted closes, so a bond or income fund that pays its return out is measured on the money a holder had, not on a price that drifts down as the payouts leave it. A fall is measured from the highest close before it to the lowest close after; "safe" here means only that, not that the fund cannot fall further.

The top ten

#FundNameWorst fallFromBack at the highSessions 10%+ underFalls of 20%+
1 SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF −6%Aug 2, 20211.6 years0%0
2 TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF −15%Nov 9, 20212.4 years13%0
3 AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF −18%Aug 4, 2020—22%0
4 BND Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares −19%Aug 6, 2020—22%0
5 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF −22%Feb 13, 20208 months7%1
6 JNK State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF −23%Feb 20, 20208 months8%1
7 IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF −24%Aug 4, 2020—46%1
8 XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF −25%Feb 14, 20205 months8%1
9 QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF −25%Feb 19, 20208 months15%2
10 LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF −25%Sep 22, 2021—27%2

All 90 funds with ten years of history

#FundNameWorst fallFromTo the lowBack at the highSessions 10%+ underFalls of 20%+A year
1 SHY iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF −6%Aug 2, 2021Oct 20, 20221.6 years0%01.7%
2 TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF −15%Nov 9, 2021Oct 6, 20232.4 years13%02.2%
3 AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF −18%Aug 4, 2020Oct 20, 2022—22%01.5%
4 BND Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares −19%Aug 6, 2020Oct 20, 2022—22%01.5%
5 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF −22%Feb 13, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months7%14.3%
6 JNK State Street SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF −23%Feb 20, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months8%14.3%
7 IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF −24%Aug 4, 2020Oct 19, 2023—46%10.5%
8 XLP State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF −25%Feb 14, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months8%18.4%
9 QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call ETF −25%Feb 19, 2020Mar 16, 20208 months15%29.2%
10 LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF −25%Sep 22, 2021Oct 20, 2022—27%22.1%
11 GLD SPDR Gold Shares −28%Jan 29, 2026Oct 30, 2026—29%211.8%
12 XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF −28%Jan 22, 2020Mar 23, 20204 months11%112.4%
13 EMB iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF −29%Sep 2, 2021Oct 20, 20222.8 years26%22.6%
14 VIG Vanguard Dividend Appreciation Index Fund ETF Shares −32%Feb 14, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months9%213.5%
15 USMV iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF −33%Feb 14, 2020Mar 23, 202010 months9%110.6%
16 EWJ iShares MSCI Japan ETF −33%Sep 15, 2021Oct 20, 20221.4 years35%28.0%
17 SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF −33%Jan 23, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months10%113.5%
18 XYLD Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF −33%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 202012 months14%18.3%
19 ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF −34%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months17%212.2%
20 XLK State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF −34%Dec 27, 2021Oct 12, 20228 months21%422.7%
21 SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust −34%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months15%215.0%
22 CIBR First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF −34%Nov 12, 2021Oct 14, 20221.3 years28%517.2%
23 QUAL iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF −34%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months17%314.3%
24 MTUM iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF −34%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 20203 months29%514.2%
25 PFF iShares Preferred and Income Securities ETF −34%Feb 11, 2020Mar 18, 20207 months19%22.6%
26 EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF −34%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months22%29.1%
27 VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF −35%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months17%314.6%
28 QQQ Invesco QQQ Trust −35%Dec 27, 2021Nov 3, 20221.1 years21%419.7%
29 DBA Invesco DB Agriculture Fund −35%Jan 17, 2017Jun 26, 20201.6 years41%14.1%
30 NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF −35%Jan 17, 2020Mar 23, 20207 months8%111.0%
31 VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets Index Fund ETF Shares −36%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months24%29.6%
32 VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund ETF Shares −36%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months31%28.9%
33 XLU State Street Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF −36%Feb 18, 2020Mar 23, 20201.4 years25%29.3%
34 VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets Index Fund ETF Shares −36%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months51%26.8%
35 DIA State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust −37%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months9%213.0%
36 VTV Vanguard Morningstar Value ETF −37%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20209 months10%112.7%
37 XLB State Street Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF −37%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20204 months21%310.4%
38 CPER United States Copper Index Fund, LP −38%Dec 28, 2017Mar 23, 20208 months58%59.5%
39 XLRE State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF −39%Feb 21, 2020Mar 23, 20201.0 years39%27.4%
40 EWT iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF −39%Jan 4, 2022Oct 24, 20221.6 years30%516.8%
41 RSP Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF −39%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months14%212.1%
42 VLUE iShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF −39%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 202010 months28%313.8%
43 XLY State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF −40%Nov 19, 2021Dec 28, 20221.9 years33%412.8%
44 EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF −40%Feb 17, 2021Oct 24, 20222.9 years62%27.1%
45 IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF −41%Aug 31, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months41%310.1%
46 DVY iShares Select Dividend ETF −42%Jan 17, 2020Mar 23, 202011 months16%110.6%
47 DBC Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund −42%Oct 3, 2018Apr 27, 20201.0 years61%29.7%
48 MDY State Street SPDR S&P MIDCAP 400 ETF Trust −42%Feb 20, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months22%410.5%
49 XLI State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF −42%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20208 months13%312.8%
50 VNQ Vanguard Real Estate Index Fund ETF Shares −42%Feb 21, 2020Mar 23, 20201.1 years44%25.9%
51 XLF State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF −43%Feb 14, 2020Mar 23, 202010 months30%313.2%
52 EWU iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF −43%Jan 26, 2018Mar 23, 20201.1 years21%28.7%
53 IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF −44%Aug 31, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months40%310.4%
54 INDA iShares MSCI India ETF −45%Jan 23, 2018Mar 23, 20208 months39%37.0%
55 SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF −45%Dec 27, 2021Oct 14, 20229 months34%531.0%
56 SOXX iShares Semiconductor ETF −46%Dec 27, 2021Oct 14, 20221.2 years37%528.3%
57 IGV iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF −46%Nov 9, 2021Nov 4, 20221.9 years37%516.1%
58 EWG iShares MSCI Germany ETF −47%Jan 23, 2018Mar 18, 202012 months46%27.5%
59 XRT State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF −47%Aug 23, 2018Mar 23, 20205 months71%39.5%
60 TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF −48%Aug 4, 2020Oct 19, 2023—59%1−1.8%
61 EWY iShares MSCI South Korea ETF −50%Jan 8, 2021Sep 30, 20223.0 years70%411.5%
62 GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF −50%Aug 5, 2020Sep 26, 20222.1 years72%614.9%
63 ITA iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF −51%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20202.9 years27%313.4%
64 ITB iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF −52%Feb 20, 2020Mar 23, 20204 months56%414.9%
65 KRE State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF −55%Jun 8, 2018Mar 23, 202011 months61%27.7%
66 BIZD VanEck BDC Income ETF −55%Feb 20, 2020Mar 23, 202011 months28%37.7%
67 EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF −57%Jan 2, 2020Mar 23, 20205.6 years70%33.7%
68 SLV iShares Silver Trust −58%Jan 28, 2026Oct 30, 2026—68%410.5%
69 SSO ProShares Ultra S&P500 −59%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 20205 months37%422.9%
70 FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF −61%Feb 17, 2021Oct 31, 2022—84%21.8%
71 QLD ProShares Ultra QQQ −64%Nov 19, 2021Dec 28, 20221.4 years44%1130.7%
72 XBI State Street SPDR S&P Biotech ETF −64%Feb 8, 2021May 11, 2022—69%210.4%
73 XLE State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF −67%May 21, 2018Mar 18, 20201.8 years50%310.3%
74 UPRO ProShares UltraPro S&P500 −77%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 202010 months49%727.9%
75 SPXL Direxion Daily S&P500 Bull 3X Shares −77%Feb 19, 2020Mar 23, 202010 months49%728.0%
76 TECL Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3X Shares −78%Dec 27, 2021Oct 12, 20221.7 years63%1340.9%
77 UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 −80%Feb 12, 2020Mar 23, 20201.0 years57%522.2%
78 ARKK ARK Innovation ETF −81%Feb 12, 2021Dec 28, 2022—66%315.2%
79 TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ −82%Nov 19, 2021Dec 28, 20221.9 years60%1236.2%
80 XOP State Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF −83%Oct 3, 2018Mar 23, 20202.2 years79%44.0%
81 FAS Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares −86%Feb 14, 2020Mar 23, 20201.1 years68%921.2%
82 USO United States Oil Fund, LP −87%Oct 3, 2018Apr 28, 20205.9 years83%36.2%
83 TNA Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 3X Shares −88%Aug 31, 2018Mar 23, 202011 months82%45.1%
84 GBTC Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF −90%Dec 18, 2017Dec 14, 20182.1 years85%950.9%
85 SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares −90%Dec 27, 2021Oct 14, 20223.3 years77%1732.3%
86 NUGT Direxion Daily Gold Miners Index Bull 2X Shares −92%Nov 9, 2016Sep 26, 20223.3 years99%3−5.4%
87 TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares −94%Mar 9, 2020Oct 5, 2026—92%3−16.9%
88 UNG United States Natural Gas Fund, LP −94%Nov 14, 2018Nov 2, 2026—98%2−22.6%
89 ERX Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares −99%Jan 22, 2018Mar 23, 2020—97%2−8.9%
90 LABU Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares −99%Feb 8, 2021Apr 8, 2025—92%8−9.2%

Nov 7, 2016 to Nov 6, 2026. Dividend-adjusted closes, so a bond or income fund that pays its return out is measured on the money a holder had, not on a price that drifts down as the payouts leave it. A fall is measured from the highest close before it to the lowest close after; "safe" here means only that, not that the fund cannot fall further. A muted figure rests on fewer than 30 independent windows. Yahoo Finance daily closes; the method page has every definition.

Not yet ten years: 10 funds listed, not ranked

FundNameListedYears of history
XLC State Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF Jun 19, 2018 8.4
JEPI JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF May 21, 2020 6.5
JEPQ JPMorgan Nasdaq Equity Premium Income ETF May 4, 2022 4.5
DIVO Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF Dec 15, 2016 9.9
SPYI Neos S&P 500(R) High Income ETF Aug 30, 2022 4.2
QQQI NEOS NASDAQ-100(R) High Income ETF Jan 30, 2024 2.8
GPIX Goldman Sachs S&P 500 Premium Income ETF Oct 27, 2023 3.0
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF Jan 11, 2024 2.8
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Jan 11, 2024 2.8
ETHA iShares Ethereum Trust ETF Jul 23, 2024 2.3

Each fund's own page carries the same statistics over its own span.

Questions

Why the last ten years?

Because a ranking has to compare the same dates: SPY has traded since 1993 and the youngest funds since 2025, so a figure over each fund's whole life would compare nothing. Ten years holds two large falls (2020, 2022) and leaves 10 funds too young to rank, listed below the table with their own span.

What was measured?

Dividend-adjusted closes, so a bond or income fund that pays its return out is measured on the money a holder had, not on a price that drifts down as the payouts leave it. A fall is measured from the highest close before it to the lowest close after; "safe" here means only that, not that the fund cannot fall further.

When does this page update?

After every US market close, once the day's official close is final; the dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.

Data through the November 6, 2026 close. Rankings of the past, not advice. The other lists: Best-performing · Fell most · Higher a year later · Whipsaw least · Whipsaw most · 200-day mattered most · 200-day rule · 100-day rule · 50-day rule.