Crypto · all funds
Is GBTC above its 200-day moving average? Since when, and how often
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF. The side, the date it changed and the crosses this year, for three rules, on unadjusted closes, read after every close.
GBTC closed above its 200-day average on August 21, 2026, its first cross this year.
Close 62.66·50-day 61.61 (+1.7%)·100-day 55.37 (+13.2%)·200-day 57.09 (+9.8%)
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The three rules at the October 23, 2026 close
| Rule | Side | Since | Sessions | Crosses this year | A year, on average | Confirmed on 3 closes | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | ●above | Aug 17, 2026 | 49 | 7 | 16.1 | ● above | Aug 19, 2026 |
| 100-day | ●above | Aug 20, 2026 | 46 | 5 | 8.9 | ● above | Aug 24, 2026 |
| 200-day | ●above | Aug 21, 2026 | 45 | 1 | 6.2 | ● above | Aug 25, 2026 |
Every cross, newest first
| Close of | Rule | Crossed | Days since the previous cross |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 283 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 90 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 6 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 6 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 70 |
| May 27, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 49 |
| May 22, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 2 |
| May 20, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 2 |
| May 18, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 17 |
| May 1, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 185 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 78 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 7 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 77 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 6 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 209 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 13 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 13 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 13 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 15 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 12 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Sep 25, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 155 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 7 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 18 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 3 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 1 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Aug 20, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 1 |
| Aug 19, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 120 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 48 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 76 |
| Apr 9, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 2 |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 178 |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Mar 5, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 8 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 137 |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 116 |
306 earlier crosses in the full ledger.
The record since 2016: each rule beside holding GBTC
| Rule | A year | $1,000 became | Worst fall | Time in GBTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | 63.7% | $192,016 | −71% | 55% |
| 50-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 69.6% | $280,031 | −70% | 56% |
| 100-day | 74.9% | $386,856 | −69% | 58% |
| 100-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 66.2% | $224,559 | −78% | 58% |
| 200-day | 58.2% | $132,817 | −80% | 65% |
| 200-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 62.6% | $178,299 | −77% | 66% |
| Holding the fund | 56.2% | $116,468 | −90% | 100% |
Since 2016, the fund's listing. Rates compound yearly on dividend-adjusted closes; a change of side takes effect at the next close; days out of the fund earn nothing. Compare rates across funds, not dollars: spans differ. The method page has the conventions.
How often GBTC crosses
GBTC has crossed its 200-day average 6.2 times a year on average since Feb 24, 2016, and 69% of those crosses came within 14 days of the previous one. Waiting for three closes on the new side cuts that to 2.4 a year.
On a dividend-adjusted price series, 0 of GBTC's 66 200-day cross dates (0%) would fall on a different day or not at all. This page uses unadjusted closes, the series a broker chart shows, so every date here can be checked against one.
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Questions
What does "above its 200-day moving average" mean?
The 200-day moving average is the mean of GBTC's last 200 daily closes. GBTC is above it when the day's close is higher than that mean, below when lower. A close exactly on the line keeps the side it had.
When does this GBTC page update?
After every US market close, once the day's official close is final (about 6:30 pm New York time). The dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.
What is the "confirmed on 3 closes" column?
The confirmed variant changes side only after three consecutive closes on the new side, and its cross date is the third close. For GBTC it has crossed the 200-day 2.4 times a year on average, against 6.2 for the raw rule.
Which prices are used?
Unadjusted daily closes: split-adjusted, not dividend-adjusted, the prices a broker chart shows. Dividend-adjusted series put many cross dates on different days; the method page explains the choice.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily closes, read through the October 23, 2026 close. Rules computed by movingaveragealerts.com; the method page has every definition. Market data, not advice.