Leveraged · all funds
Is TMF above its 200-day moving average? Since when, and how often
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares. The side, the date it changed and the crosses this year, for three rules, on unadjusted closes, read after every close.
TMF closed below its 200-day average on March 10, 2026, its fourth cross this year.
Close 29.36·50-day 28.83 (+1.8%)·100-day 31.18 (−5.8%)·200-day 34.02 (−13.7%)
Email me when TMF crossesOne email on the evening it happens, on the rule you pick. Stop any time.
The three rules at the October 23, 2026 close
| Rule | Side | Since | Sessions | Crosses this year | A year, on average | Confirmed on 3 closes | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | ●above | Oct 22, 2026 | 2 | 5 | 21.1 | ○ below | Jul 6, 2026 |
| 100-day | ○below | Jun 30, 2026 | 82 | 6 | 12.4 | ○ below | Jul 2, 2026 |
| 200-day | ○below | Mar 10, 2026 | 159 | 4 | 8.2 | ○ below | Mar 12, 2026 |
Every cross, newest first
| Close of | Rule | Crossed | Days since the previous cross |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 113 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 20 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 6 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 106 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 92 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 29 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 26 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 21 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 70 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 1 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 71 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 68 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 91 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 1 |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 2 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 6 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 11 |
| Nov 25, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 12 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 2 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 3 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 38 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 7 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 62 |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 1 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 7 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 5 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 1 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 1 |
| Sep 22, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 14 |
| Sep 8, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 339 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 6 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 6 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 3 |
675 earlier crosses in the full ledger.
The record since 2010: each rule beside holding TMF
| Rule | A year | $1,000 became | Worst fall | Time in TMF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | -3.9% | $510 | −84% | 48% |
| 50-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.3% | $1,244 | −70% | 49% |
| 100-day | 0.1% | $1,024 | −83% | 47% |
| 100-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.2% | $1,212 | −82% | 47% |
| 200-day | 0.5% | $1,094 | −61% | 43% |
| 200-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 3.6% | $1,812 | −60% | 43% |
| Holding the fund | -4.5% | $462 | −94% | 100% |
Since 2010, the fund's listing. Rates compound yearly on dividend-adjusted closes; a change of side takes effect at the next close; days out of the fund earn nothing. Compare rates across funds, not dollars: spans differ. The method page has the conventions.
How often TMF crosses
TMF has crossed its 200-day average 8.2 times a year on average since Jan 29, 2010, and 70% of those crosses came within 14 days of the previous one. Waiting for three closes on the new side cuts that to 2.7 a year.
On a dividend-adjusted price series, 84 of TMF's 175 200-day cross dates (48%) would fall on a different day or not at all. This page uses unadjusted closes, the series a broker chart shows, so every date here can be checked against one.
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Questions
What does "above its 200-day moving average" mean?
The 200-day moving average is the mean of TMF's last 200 daily closes. TMF is above it when the day's close is higher than that mean, below when lower. A close exactly on the line keeps the side it had.
When does this TMF page update?
After every US market close, once the day's official close is final (about 6:30 pm New York time). The dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.
What is the "confirmed on 3 closes" column?
The confirmed variant changes side only after three consecutive closes on the new side, and its cross date is the third close. For TMF it has crossed the 200-day 2.7 times a year on average, against 8.2 for the raw rule.
Which prices are used?
Unadjusted daily closes: split-adjusted, not dividend-adjusted, the prices a broker chart shows. Dividend-adjusted series put many cross dates on different days; the method page explains the choice.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily closes, read through the October 23, 2026 close. Rules computed by movingaveragealerts.com; the method page has every definition. Market data, not advice.