Bonds · all funds
Is BND above its 200-day moving average? Since when, and how often
Vanguard Total Bond Market Index Fund ETF Shares. The side, the date it changed and the crosses this year, for three rules, on unadjusted closes, read after every close.
BND closed below its 200-day average on March 11, 2026, its first cross this year.
Close 71.20·50-day 71.22 (−0.0%)·100-day 72.02 (−1.1%)·200-day 72.94 (−2.4%)
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The three rules at the October 23, 2026 close
| Rule | Side | Since | Sessions | Crosses this year | A year, on average | Confirmed on 3 closes | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | ○below | Oct 23, 2026 | 1 | 18 | 22.6 | ○ below | Jul 6, 2026 |
| 100-day | ○below | Jun 30, 2026 | 82 | 10 | 14.6 | ○ below | Mar 12, 2026 |
| 200-day | ○below | Mar 11, 2026 | 158 | 1 | 8.4 | ○ below | Mar 13, 2026 |
Every cross, newest first
| Close of | Rule | Crossed | Days since the previous cross |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 113 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 7 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 111 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 7 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 15 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 3 |
| May 29, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 80 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 236 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 4 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 27 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 21 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 26 |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 7 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 1 |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 2 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 10 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 3 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 15 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 43 |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 11 |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 2 |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 2 |
| Dec 10, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 2 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 140 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 10 |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 9 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 8 |
834 earlier crosses in the full ledger.
The record since 2008: each rule beside holding BND
| Rule | A year | $1,000 became | Worst fall | Time in BND |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | 1.1% | $1,222 | −9% | 53% |
| 50-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.7% | $1,365 | −9% | 53% |
| 100-day | 0.9% | $1,177 | −11% | 53% |
| 100-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.5% | $1,322 | −9% | 53% |
| 200-day | 1.1% | $1,226 | −16% | 56% |
| 200-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.4% | $1,299 | −13% | 56% |
| Holding the fund | 2.6% | $1,624 | −19% | 100% |
Since 2008, the fund's listing. Rates compound yearly on dividend-adjusted closes; a change of side takes effect at the next close; days out of the fund earn nothing. Compare rates across funds, not dollars: spans differ. The method page has the conventions.
How often BND crosses
BND has crossed its 200-day average 8.4 times a year on average since Jan 23, 2008, and 74% of those crosses came within 14 days of the previous one. Waiting for three closes on the new side cuts that to 3.4 a year.
On a dividend-adjusted price series, 322 of BND's 324 200-day cross dates (99%) would fall on a different day or not at all. This page uses unadjusted closes, the series a broker chart shows, so every date here can be checked against one.
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Questions
What does "above its 200-day moving average" mean?
The 200-day moving average is the mean of BND's last 200 daily closes. BND is above it when the day's close is higher than that mean, below when lower. A close exactly on the line keeps the side it had.
When does this BND page update?
After every US market close, once the day's official close is final (about 6:30 pm New York time). The dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.
What is the "confirmed on 3 closes" column?
The confirmed variant changes side only after three consecutive closes on the new side, and its cross date is the third close. For BND it has crossed the 200-day 3.4 times a year on average, against 8.4 for the raw rule.
Which prices are used?
Unadjusted daily closes: split-adjusted, not dividend-adjusted, the prices a broker chart shows. Dividend-adjusted series put many cross dates on different days; the method page explains the choice.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily closes, read through the October 23, 2026 close. Rules computed by movingaveragealerts.com; the method page has every definition. Market data, not advice.