Commodities and real assets · all funds
Is USO above its 200-day moving average? Since when, and how often
United States Oil Fund, LP. The side, the date it changed and the crosses this year, for three rules, on unadjusted closes, read after every close.
USO closed above its 200-day average on January 20, 2026, its third cross this year.
Close 169.53·50-day 146.47 (+15.7%)·100-day 133.55 (+26.9%)·200-day 121.61 (+39.4%)
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The three rules at the October 23, 2026 close
| Rule | Side | Since | Sessions | Crosses this year | A year, on average | Confirmed on 3 closes | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | ●above | Aug 10, 2026 | 54 | 9 | 18.9 | ● above | Aug 12, 2026 |
| 100-day | ●above | Aug 27, 2026 | 41 | 13 | 12.9 | ● above | Aug 19, 2026 |
| 200-day | ●above | Jan 20, 2026 | 193 | 3 | 10.1 | ● above | Jan 22, 2026 |
Every cross, newest first
| Close of | Rule | Crossed | Days since the previous cross |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 2 |
| Aug 25, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 8 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 2 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 8 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 7 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 5 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 5 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 2 |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 6 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 10 |
| Jul 21, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 46 |
| Jul 17, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 31 |
| Jun 16, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 151 |
| Jun 5, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 4 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 5 |
| May 27, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 139 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 5 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 1 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 3 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 2 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 104 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 104 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 31 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 3 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 16 |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 6 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 15 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 4 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 24 |
| Oct 1, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 8 |
| Sep 30, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 111 |
| Sep 29, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 6 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 6 |
| Sep 23, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 4 |
| Sep 19, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 4 |
| Sep 17, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
803 earlier crosses in the full ledger.
The record since 2007: each rule beside holding USO
| Rule | A year | $1,000 became | Worst fall | Time in USO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | 3.4% | $1,931 | −59% | 54% |
| 50-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 2.1% | $1,508 | −66% | 54% |
| 100-day | 4.1% | $2,216 | −59% | 55% |
| 100-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.6% | $1,377 | −69% | 55% |
| 200-day | 1.8% | $1,431 | −75% | 51% |
| 200-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 0.2% | $1,047 | −81% | 51% |
| Holding the fund | -3.8% | $468 | −98% | 100% |
Since 2007, the fund's listing. Rates compound yearly on dividend-adjusted closes; a change of side takes effect at the next close; days out of the fund earn nothing. Compare rates across funds, not dollars: spans differ. The method page has the conventions.
How often USO crosses
USO has crossed its 200-day average 10.1 times a year on average since Jan 25, 2007, and 71% of those crosses came within 14 days of the previous one. Waiting for three closes on the new side cuts that to 4.8 a year.
On a dividend-adjusted price series, 0 of USO's 199 200-day cross dates (0%) would fall on a different day or not at all. This page uses unadjusted closes, the series a broker chart shows, so every date here can be checked against one.
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Questions
What does "above its 200-day moving average" mean?
The 200-day moving average is the mean of USO's last 200 daily closes. USO is above it when the day's close is higher than that mean, below when lower. A close exactly on the line keeps the side it had.
When does this USO page update?
After every US market close, once the day's official close is final (about 6:30 pm New York time). The dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.
What is the "confirmed on 3 closes" column?
The confirmed variant changes side only after three consecutive closes on the new side, and its cross date is the third close. For USO it has crossed the 200-day 4.8 times a year on average, against 10.1 for the raw rule.
Which prices are used?
Unadjusted daily closes: split-adjusted, not dividend-adjusted, the prices a broker chart shows. Dividend-adjusted series put many cross dates on different days; the method page explains the choice.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily closes, read through the October 23, 2026 close. Rules computed by movingaveragealerts.com; the method page has every definition. Market data, not advice.