Bonds · all funds
Is TLT above its 200-day moving average? Since when, and how often
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF. The side, the date it changed and the crosses this year, for three rules, on unadjusted closes, read after every close.
TLT closed below its 200-day average on March 11, 2026, its sixth cross this year.
Close 81.34·50-day 80.56 (+1.0%)·100-day 82.54 (−1.5%)·200-day 84.78 (−4.1%)
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The three rules at the October 23, 2026 close
| Rule | Side | Since | Sessions | Crosses this year | A year, on average | Confirmed on 3 closes | Since |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | ●above | Oct 22, 2026 | 2 | 7 | 21.5 | ○ below | Jul 6, 2026 |
| 100-day | ○below | Jun 30, 2026 | 82 | 6 | 12.3 | ○ below | Jul 2, 2026 |
| 200-day | ○below | Mar 11, 2026 | 158 | 6 | 10.0 | ○ below | Mar 13, 2026 |
Every cross, newest first
| Close of | Rule | Crossed | Days since the previous cross |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 113 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 20 |
| Jun 30, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 6 |
| Jun 24, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 106 |
| Jun 11, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 92 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 29 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 29 |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 4 |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 100-day | ○below | 21 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | 100-day | ●above | 70 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 14 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 14 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 4 |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 50-day | ●above | 56 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 7 |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 200-day | ○below | 2 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 200-day | ●above | 40 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 200-day | ○below | 91 |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 91 |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 7 |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 11 |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 2 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 4 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 1 |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 62 |
| Sep 5, 2025 | 200-day | ●above | 151 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 6 |
| Sep 4, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 6 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
| Aug 29, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 1 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 2 |
| Aug 28, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 3 |
| Aug 26, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 4 |
| Aug 25, 2025 | 100-day | ○below | 3 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 50-day | ●above | 1 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | 100-day | ●above | 8 |
| Aug 21, 2025 | 50-day | ○below | 1 |
1005 earlier crosses in the full ledger.
The record since 2003: each rule beside holding TLT
| Rule | A year | $1,000 became | Worst fall | Time in TLT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50-day | 0.4% | $1,110 | −38% | 51% |
| 50-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 1.3% | $1,346 | −25% | 51% |
| 100-day | 1.9% | $1,541 | −35% | 50% |
| 100-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 2.1% | $1,629 | −36% | 50% |
| 200-day | 0.9% | $1,241 | −36% | 49% |
| 200-day, confirmed on 3 closes | 2.1% | $1,640 | −32% | 48% |
| Holding the fund | 2.9% | $1,942 | −48% | 100% |
Since 2003, the fund's listing. Rates compound yearly on dividend-adjusted closes; a change of side takes effect at the next close; days out of the fund earn nothing. Compare rates across funds, not dollars: spans differ. The method page has the conventions.
How often TLT crosses
TLT has crossed its 200-day average 10.0 times a year on average since May 14, 2003, and 71% of those crosses came within 14 days of the previous one. Waiting for three closes on the new side cuts that to 3.5 a year.
On a dividend-adjusted price series, 456 of TLT's 477 200-day cross dates (96%) would fall on a different day or not at all. This page uses unadjusted closes, the series a broker chart shows, so every date here can be checked against one.
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Questions
What does "above its 200-day moving average" mean?
The 200-day moving average is the mean of TLT's last 200 daily closes. TLT is above it when the day's close is higher than that mean, below when lower. A close exactly on the line keeps the side it had.
When does this TLT page update?
After every US market close, once the day's official close is final (about 6:30 pm New York time). The dateline at the top names the last close it reflects.
What is the "confirmed on 3 closes" column?
The confirmed variant changes side only after three consecutive closes on the new side, and its cross date is the third close. For TLT it has crossed the 200-day 3.5 times a year on average, against 10.0 for the raw rule.
Which prices are used?
Unadjusted daily closes: split-adjusted, not dividend-adjusted, the prices a broker chart shows. Dividend-adjusted series put many cross dates on different days; the method page explains the choice.
Source: Yahoo Finance daily closes, read through the October 23, 2026 close. Rules computed by movingaveragealerts.com; the method page has every definition. Market data, not advice.